Quantifying Crime Prevention Potential of Near-Repeat Burglary

• NCJ Number: 254274
• Author(s): Elizabeth Groff; Travis Taniguchi
• Date Published: 2019
• Length: 30 pages
• Grant Number(s): 2012-IJ-CX-0039
• Agencies: NIJ-Sponsored
• Publication Type: Research (Applied/Empirical); Report (Study/Research); Report (Grant Sponsored); Program/Project Description
• Award: Translating ''Near Repeat'' Theory into a Geospatial Police Strategy: A Randomized Experiment testing a Theoretically-Informed Strategy for Preventing Residential Burglary

Annotation

To better estimate the crime prevention potential of focusing on near-repeat burglaries, this article reports on a study of burglary patterns in 10 U.S. cities.

Abstract

The space-time risk window associated with near-repeat burglary patterns would seem to present a natural opportunity for burglary prevention efforts; however, constraints associated with the reporting of, police response to, and space-time patterning of burglaries can reduce the crime prevention potential of such efforts. The current study used descriptive aspatial and spatial statistics used to address the research questions. Significant space-time clustering did not necessarily indicate an actionable near-repeat problem. Police analysts and researchers should also consider the crime prevention potential of focusing on near repeats, i.e, the proportion of burglaries that are preventable. The results of this test provide new information to guide the implementation and evaluation of crime prevention efforts focused on near-repeat events. (publisher abstract modified)