STARIMA (Space-Time Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Model-Building Procedure With Application to Description and Regional Forecasting

• NCJ Number: 88443
• Journal: Transactions Volume: 5 Issue: 3 Dated: (1980) Pages: 330-349
• Author(s): P E Pfeifer; S J Deutsch
• Date Published: 1979
• Length: 20 pages
• Grant Number(s): 75-NI-99-0091; 78-NI-AX-0040
• Agencies: NIJ-Sponsored
• Publication Type: Report (Study/Research)

Annotation

The paper presents a three-stage iterative procedure for building space-time autoregressive integrated moving average (STARIMA) models.

Abstract

The model-building is illustrated with the spatial data base for tractor ownership. The paper discusses and compares the resulting STARIMA model and models previously postulated (Casetti and Semple, 1969, and Cliff and Ord, 1975), with particular focus on the differences in model form, assumptions inherent in the modeling, and the descriptive capability of the resulting models. Tables, formulas, and 15 references are included. (Author summary modified)