Recidivism Forecasting Challenge

NIJ has updated the Challenge to:

• Add missing deadlines under section X: Other Rules and Conditions.
• Provide a sample submission file.
• Updated the scoring section by adding:
  If an applicant fails to provide a probability for an individual in the test dataset it will be considered an incorrect forecast (i.e., if the individual did recidivate, it will be scored as though you forecasted a 0 probability; and, if the individual did not recidivate, it will be scored as though you forecasted a 1 probability). 
• Correct incorrect variable names in the data file:
  • _v1  becomes Prior_Arrest_Episodes_PPViolationCharges
  • _v2 becomes Prior_Conviction_Episodes_PPViolationCharges
  • _v3 becomes Prior_Conviction_Episodes_DomesticViolenceCharges
  • _v4 becomes Prior_Conviction_Episodes_GunCharges

NIJ Has updated the Challenge to clarify:

• That the team roster must include to which category the submitter is applying
• What files types are allowable.