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A Statistical Method To Construct Confidence Sets on Carrion Insect Age From Development Stage

NCJ Number
252291
Date Published
June 2017
Length
11 pages
Author(s)
Lynn R. LaMotte, Amanda L. Roe, Jeffrey D. Wells, Leon G. Higley
Agencies
NIJ-Sponsored
Annotation
Since no method has previously been proposed for constructing a confidence set on carrion insect age based on development stage modeled as a categorical response, the project described in this article illustrates the application of exact p values, which was first developed for succession data, to construct a confidence set on a carrion insect’s age based only on its development stage.
Abstract
The project used published development data for Lucilia sericata, with individuals reared at different temperatures pooled into sets of similar age as indexed in accumulated degree hours. Rates of coverage of true ages, assessed using each insect as a singleton holdout sample, were greater than the nominal 95-percent level. (Publisher abstract modified)
Date Created: March 19, 2019