Predictive modeling combining short and long-term crime risk potential

This project will create a software tool that will enable police departments and other agencies across the country to use their geocoded crime data in combination with freely-available census data and create micro-spatial estimates of future criminal activity at the local block level. The project translates two theoretically grounded approaches in the crime and place literature, community level structural demographic correlates of crime, and repeat and near repeat crime and victimization patterns, into a spatio-temporal technology allowing crime analysts to see the crime patterns underlying recent localized crime levels, and to predict near-term crime changes. This project leverages off a previously NIJ-funded Near Repeat Calculator.
nca/ncf